Global overview
Our monthly conflict tracker highlights three conflict risk alerts in September.
Ethiopia’s Confederate and Tigray forces returned to frontline fighting, crushing the March ceasefire. Hostilities could escalate further on multiple fronts, jeopardizing prospects for long-awaited peace talks.
The renewed Tigray conflict threatens to upset the fleeting calm along the Eritrea-Ethiopia border, where Asmara’s forces could do battle with Tigray forces.
In Libya, the worst fighting in years erupted between forces loyal to the two rival governments in the capital, Tripoli, raising the prospect of a return to full-scale war.
CrisisWatch highlighted deteriorations in 10 countries in August.
Tensions in the Strait of Taiwan rose as China held large-scale live fire drills around Taiwan as part of its response to the visit of US House Speaker Nancy Pelosis to the island.
In Sierra Leone, President Bio accused the political opposition of an uprising as deadly protests against the rising cost of living erupted across the country.
Al-Shabaab carried out its first major attack in Somalia’s capital Mogadishu since President Mohamud returned to power, killing over 20 people.
In Israel-Palestine, Israeli forces launched an offensive against the Islamic Jihad faction in Gaza that has killed dozens of Palestinians in the worst fighting since May 2021.
In northern Syria, Turkish drone strikes and cross-border attacks by Kurdish-led forces on Turkish army bases have fueled a deadly escalation that has claimed lives on both sides.
Ecuador’s President Lasso declared a state of emergency over the city of Guayaquil after five people were killed in a bomb attack. The attack marked a dramatic escalation in violence in a country plagued by rising gang crime.
Aside from the many conflict situations we normally assess, we followed notable developments in Brazil, Nile waters, Rwanda and Togo during August.
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